Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Referee: Gandino D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casertana		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	2.08	3.00	3.15	Watch
	2.11	3.06	4.11
	1.99	3.12	3.79	Watch
	2.08	2.85	4.05
	2.04	3.13	3.86	Watch
	2.01	3.15	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.3)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casertana
45%

Draw
30.1%

Monopoli
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

31.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

32.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Casertana - Monopoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (C) 23. Martino P. 33. Rocchi G. 11. Favale G. 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Girelli S. 16. Pezzella S. 21. Vezzoni F. 20. Bentivegna A. 10. Manconi J. 9. Castelli D.	22. Tommasi M. (G) 16. Valenti B. 6. Piccinini S. 33. Olivieri E. 23. Cerretti C. 19. Calcagni R. 8. Battocchio C. (C) 15. Greco J. 14. Tosi F. 28. Vido L. 10. Fall M.
Substitutes
14. Ajayi J. 24. Belli F. 17. Caporale A. 19. Colley M. 32. Di Tacchio F. 4. Kontek I. 12. Luca S. (G) 22. Magro F. (G) 5. Mehic D. 7. Piovanello E. 27. Sandri M.	1. Albertazzi M. (G) 11. Belli M. 7. Capone A. 13. Colombara M. 72. Cortinovis A. 61. Garritano L. 60. Gioielli F. 18. Paukstys S. 2. Pucino R. 20. Sardo M. 21. Scipioni E. 12. Sibilano C. (G)
Coaches
Stellone R.	Colombo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Favale G. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Vido L. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Vezzoni F. ⚽, Oukhadda S. (A),
38', Rocchi G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Manconi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Favale G. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
46', Rocchi G. ↓, Caporale A. ↑,
52', Olivieri E. 🟨,
65', Cerretti C. 🟨,
69', Vido L. ↓, Capone A. ↑,
70', Olivieri E. ↓, Sardo M. ↑,
70', Battocchio C. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
70', Bentivegna A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
70', Girelli S. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Manconi J. ⚽, Piovanello E. (A),
85', Greco J. ↓, Gioielli F. ↑,
85', Tosi F. ↓, Belli M. ↑,
85', Pezzella S. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2.

In recent outings, Casertana has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Monopoli is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Casertana holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Casertana has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Casertana against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
9	Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Monopoli - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Cavese - Casertana	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Casertana - Catania	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Casertana - Altamura	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inter U23 - Casertana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTWW
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Monopoli - Savoia	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Casarano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Monopoli - Crotone	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Scafatese - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Monopoli - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Casertana - Monopoli	2:1
09.11.25	Monopoli - Casertana	1:1
23.03.25	Monopoli - Casertana	1:0
09.11.24	Casertana - Monopoli	0:0
06.01.24	Monopoli - Casertana	1:2
27.09.23	Casertana - Monopoli	1:1
15.04.21	Monopoli - Casertana	0:1

Casertana - Monopoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide