Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Casertana		Bari

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	4.6	3.4	1.67	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	4.6	3.3	1.68
	4.75	3.46	1.68
	5	3.4	1.7
	5.25	3.34	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.88)	3.39 ↑ (3.19)	1.67 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
19%

Draw
26.8%

Bari
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.6%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casertana - Bari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Casertana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bari is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
08.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:3 ✺
04.11.20	Casertana - Foggia	0:2 ✺
01.11.20	Casertana - Turris	2:4 ✺
25.10.20	Avellino - Casertana	3:1 ✺
21.10.20	Casertana - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLT
- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.20	Bari - Ternana	1:3 ✺
11.11.20	Potenza - Bari	1:4 ✺
08.11.20	Bari - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Foggia - Bari	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Bari - Catania	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.12.19	Casertana - Bari	0:3

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