Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Francavilla		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.35
	3.07	3.15	2.5
	3.07	2.95	2.5
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.92	3.04	2.32
	2.9	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	2.36 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
31.3%

Draw
29.8%

Casertana
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Virtus Francavilla - Casertana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Casertana will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 40. Accardi A. 3. De Marino D. 26. Yakubiv S. 8. Di Marco T. 23. Nicoli S. 19. Izzillo N. 30. Macca F. 7. Biondi K. 9. Artistico G. 10. Polidori A.	22. Venturi G. (G) 26. Calapai L. 4. Celiento D. 19. Sciacca G. 33. Anastasio A. 5. Toscano M. 8. Damian F. 21. Casoli G. 10. Curcio A. 32. Montalto A. 11. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
17. Carella F. 37. Castiglia A. 18. Del Duca P. 31. Enyan E. 72. Fekete M. 90. Giovinco G. 80. Latagliata M. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 21. Risolo A. 20. Vantaggiato D. 11. Zuppel D.	66. Cadili A. 23. Del Prete M. 17. Galletta U. 1. Marfella D. (G) 16. Matese M. 24. Paglino S. 25. Taurino L. 27. Turchetta G.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1.

Virtus Francavilla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Casertana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.11.23	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	1:2 ✺
25.10.23	Latina - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
15.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Sorrento	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
05.11.23	Casertana - Turris	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	2:4 ✺
25.10.23	Casertana - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Città di Brindisi - Casertana	1:4 ✺
16.10.23	Casertana - Avellino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.21	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	4:0
08.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:3
19.01.20	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	1:1
08.09.19	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
12.05.19	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.19	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
06.10.18	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:2

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