Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Casertana		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	2.8
	2.55	2.8	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.7
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.65	2.98	2.88
	2.6	2.88	2.88
	2.67	2.72	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.69)	2.9 ↑ (2.51)	2.82 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
35.9%

Draw
31.5%

Vibonese
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

37%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vibonese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Casertana - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Casertana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vibonese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vibonese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vibonese have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Casertana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
29.11.20	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Casertana - Bari	0:2 ✺
08.11.20	Virtus Francavilla - Casertana	1:3 ✺
04.11.20	Casertana - Foggia	0:2 ✺
01.11.20	Casertana - Turris	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWLL
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.11.20	Vibonese - Ternana	2:3 ✺
25.11.20	Vibonese - Foggia	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Monopoli - Vibonese	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Catania - Vibonese	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Vibonese - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.02.20	Casertana - Vibonese	1:2
06.10.19	Vibonese - Casertana	3:1
24.02.19	Vibonese - Casertana	1:1
29.10.18	Casertana - Vibonese	1:1
11.02.17	Casertana - Vibonese	1:2
25.09.16	Vibonese - Casertana	0:1

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