Match Info

Date: 9 November 2020, Monday


	Palermo		Catania

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.4
	5	3.6	1.57	Watch
	5.25	3.95	1.5
	6.2	3.4	1.48
	6.74	4.41	1.4
	7.5	3.5	1.52	Watch
	7	3.8	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.31 ↑ (2.52)	3.81 ↑ (3)	1.48 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
14.4%

Draw
23.9%

Catania
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palermo's form might have worsened.

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palermo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.5%	11.6%	57.9%

Palermo - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 29 - 30.5%). Catania will win (votes: 55 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catania: 48% – 67.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 12).

Palermo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Catania is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Palermo have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
04.11.20	Catanzaro - Palermo	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Bisceglie - Palermo	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Palermo - Avellino	0:2 ✺
07.10.20	Ternana - Palermo	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Teramo - Palermo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLTL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.20	Bari - Catania	4:1 ✺
21.10.20	Catania - Ternana	1:3 ✺
18.10.20	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Catania - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Monopoli - Catania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.04.13	Catania - Palermo	1:1
24.11.12	Palermo - Catania	3:1
28.04.12	Palermo - Catania	1:1

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