Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Ternana		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.37
	2.95	3.25	2.35	Watch
	3.16	3.29	2.45
	3.19	3.31	2.43
	3	3.25	2.2
	2.93	3.34	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.06)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	2.37 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
31.4%

Draw
28.9%

Palermo
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

29.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	42.9%	50%

Ternana - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 19. Capuano M. 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 25. Labojko J. 8. de Boer K. 91. Corrado N. 10. Falletti C. (C) 28. Di Stefano F. 9. Raimondo A.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 37. Mateju A. 5. Lucioni F. 15. Marconi I. 3. Lund K. 4. Gomes C. 6. Stulac L. 7. Mancuso L. 80. Coulibaly M. 10. Di Mariano F. 9. Brunori M. (C)
Substitutes
3. Celli A. 65. Dionisi F. 27. Favasuli C. 17. Favilli A. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 71. Luperini G. 13. Mantovani V. 73. Marginean I. 66. Pyyhtia N. 4. Sorensen F. 18. Vitali T. (G) 24. Viviani F.	31. Aurelio G. 25. Buttaro A. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 2. Graves S. 53. Henderson L. 13. Kanuric A. (G) 18. Nedelcearu I. 8. Segre J. 30. Valente N.
Coaches
Breda R.	Corini E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Palermo have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
12.11.23	Spezia - Ternana	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Ternana - Venezia	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Modena - Ternana	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ternana - Brescia	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Cittadella - Ternana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLT
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
12.11.23	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
08.11.23	Palermo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Sampdoria - Palermo	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Palermo - Lecco	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Palermo - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.02.23	Palermo - Ternana	0:0
08.10.22	Ternana - Palermo	3:0
Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.21	Palermo - Ternana	1:1
07.10.20	Ternana - Palermo	0:0
Italian Serie B
05.05.18	Ternana - Palermo	2:3
16.12.17	Palermo - Ternana	1:0
25.05.14	Ternana - Palermo	1:2

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