Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 11

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Palermo		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.25
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.48	4.72	6.9
	1.41	5.14	7.87
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.39	4.9	7.2	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	4.78 ↑ (4.15)	7.3 ↑ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
67.2%

Draw
19.8%

Lecco
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Palermo - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 37. Mateju A. 5. Lucioni F. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Lund K. 4. Gomes C. 6. Stulac L. 7. Mancuso L. 20. Vasic A. 17. Di Francesco F. 27. Soleri E. (C)	1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 6. Bianconi A. 2. Celjak V. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 96. Galli G. 27. Ionita A. 99. Buso N. 90. Novakovich A. 21. Crociata G.
Substitutes
31. Aurelio G. 9. Brunori M. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 2. Graves S. 53. Henderson L. 11. Insigne R. 13. Kanuric A. (G) 15. Marconi I. 18. Nedelcearu I. 8. Segre J. 30. Valente N.	80. Agostinelli V. 13. Battistini M. 68. Boci B. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 9. Eusepi U. 7. Giudici L. 83. Lemmens M. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 22. Saracco U. (G) 16. Tenkorang J. 11. Tordini M.
Coaches
Corini E.	Bonazzoli E.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Palermo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lecco is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palermo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palermo is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
23.10.23	Palermo - Spezia	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Modena - Palermo	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Venezia - Palermo	1:3 ✺
22.09.23	Palermo - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
24.10.23	Pisa - Lecco	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Nuova Cosenza - Lecco	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Lecco - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL

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