Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 10

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.6
	2.7	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.84	3.27	2.72
	2.84	3.27	2.7
	2.6	3.25	2.62
	2.65	3.28	2.64	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.39)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	2.65 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
34.9%

Draw
29.4%

Ascoli
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Lecco - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Saracco U. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 6. Bianconi A. 2. Celjak V. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ionita A. 8. Sersanti A. 21. Crociata G. 73. Di Stefano L. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	2. Viviano E. (G) 17. Adjapong C. 55. Bellusci G. 14. Quaranta D. 54. Falasco N. 23. Falzerano M. 10. Caligara F. 18. Di Tacchio F. 20. Milanese T. 90. Mendes P. 30. Nestorovski I.
Substitutes
80. Agostinelli V. 68. Boci B. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 20. Donati F. 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 32. Lepore F. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 18. Pinzauti L. 11. Tordini M. 23. Zambataro E.	1. Barosi D. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 6. Kraja E. 28. Manzari G. 73. Masini P. 7. Millico V. 99. Rodriguez P. 96. Rossi E.
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Viali W.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Lecco has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
07.10.23	Nuova Cosenza - Lecco	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Lecco - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Modena - Lecco	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Lecco - Brescia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.10.23	Ascoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Ascoli - Ternana	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Cremonese - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ascoli - Palermo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWTL

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