Match Info

Serie B - Round 38

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.65	3.95	4.55	Watch
	1.65	4.16	4.98
	1.6	4.27	4.72	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.6
	1.63	4.15	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	4.06 ↑ (3.87)	4.65 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
56.9%

Draw
23%

Palermo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	11.5%	0%

Venezia - Palermo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Venezia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 4. Franjic B. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 5. Haps R. 10. Yeboah J. 29. Lauberbach L.	66. Joronen J. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 29. Peda P. 32. Ceccaroni P. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. (C) 28. Blin A. 3. Augello T. 5. Palumbo A. 14. Vasic A. 21. Le Douaron J.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 28. Dagasso M. 32. Duncan A. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 16. Venturi M.	31. Corona G. 77. Di Bartolo F. (G) 17. Giovane S. 6. Gomes C. 1. Gomis A. (G) 7. Johnsen D. 96. Magnani G. 18. Modesto R. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 10. Ranocchia F. 72. Veroli D.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Bereszynski B. 🟨,
31', Peda P. 🟨,
35', Franjic B. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Peda P. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Doumbia I. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
51', Vasic A. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
60', Le Douaron J. ↓, Pohjanpalo J. ↑,
61', Palumbo A. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
72', Pierozzi N. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
74', Doumbia I. 🟨,
76', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
76', Lauberbach L. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
90', Doumbia I. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
90+1', Perez K. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Compagnon M. ⚽, Busio G. (A),
90+5', Compagnon M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Venezia is Qualified for Serie A

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Venezia is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Adorante A. (Yellow Cards) Farji M. (Inactive) Sidibe A. (Inactive) Sverko M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Palermo: Gyasi E. (Yellow Cards)

We predict that Venezia will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Spezia - Venezia	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Venezia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Entella - Venezia	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Venezia - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWTW
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
01.05.26	Palermo - Catanzaro	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Reggiana - Palermo	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Palermo - Cesena	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Frosinone - Palermo	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Palermo - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Palermo - Venezia	0:0
24.05.24	Venezia - Palermo	2:1
20.05.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:1
15.03.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:3
26.09.23	Venezia - Palermo	1:3
15.04.23	Venezia - Palermo	3:2
27.11.22	Palermo - Venezia	0:1

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