Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 34

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	Palermo		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.35
	2.85	3.4	2.35	Watch
	3.16	3.36	2.42
	3.14	3.29	2.44
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.89	3.52	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.79)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
32.6%

Draw
27.8%

Parma
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	46.7%	46.7%

Palermo - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Parma will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Diakite S. 5. Lucioni F. 18. Nedelcearu I. 10. Di Mariano F. 53. Henderson L. 4. Gomes C. 3. Lund K. 17. Di Francesco F. 7. Mancuso L. 9. Brunori M.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. 39. Circati A. 3. Osorio Y. 77. Di Chiara G. 64. Cyprien W. 8. Estevez N. 98. Man D. 10. Bernabe A. 28. Mihaila V. 7. Benedyczak A.
Substitutes
31. Aurelio G. 25. Buttaro A. 32. Ceccaroni P. 80. Coulibaly M. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 2. Graves S. 11. Insigne R. 15. Marconi I. 8. Segre J. 27. Soleri E. 6. Stulac L. 70. Traore C.	14. Ansaldi C. 4. Balogh B. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 20. Hainaut A. 27. Hernani 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Pecchia F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Di Mariano F. ↓, Buttaro A. ↑,
37', Osorio Y. 🟨,
42', Diakite S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cyprien W. ↓, Charpentier G. ↑,
68', Mihaila V. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
69', Mancuso L. ↓, Traore C. ↑,
69', Henderson L. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
78', Bernabe A. 🟨,
79', Benedyczak A. ↓, Hernani ↑,
83', Man D. ↓, Ansaldi C. ↑,
90', Brunori M. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
90+4', Gomes C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1.

Recent matches Palermo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Parma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
13.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Pisa - Palermo	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Palermo - Lommel	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
15.03.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLWL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
13.04.24	Parma - Spezia	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Parma - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.03.24	Parma - Brescia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.12.23	Parma - Palermo	3:3
01.04.23	Parma - Palermo	2:1
05.11.22	Palermo - Parma	1:0
02.04.18	Parma - Palermo	3:2
08.10.17	Palermo - Parma	1:1
Italian Serie A
26.04.15	Parma - Palermo	1:0
30.11.14	Palermo - Parma	2:1

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