Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Bogado M. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 6
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
World	Disney+


	Cruzeiro		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.31	5.25	9.25
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.37	4.76	8.91	Watch
	1.3	4.8	10	Watch
	1.36	4.8	8.45	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.17)	4.84 ↓ (6.96)	8.73 ↓ (14.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
69.8%

Draw
19.5%

Mushuc Runa
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.9%

13.5%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Cruzeiro (2.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 3. Marlon 21. Eduardo 29. Romero L. (C) 8. Matheus Henrique 10. Matheus Pereira 9. Gabriel Barbosa 7. Dudu	25. Formento R. (G) 4. Haquin L. 29. Quintero D. 2. Bentaberry B. 31. Mina G. 32. Orejuela C. 88. Arce L. 14. Tapiero S. 5. Davila E. 27. Simisterra R. 17. Penilla C.
Substitutes
88. Christian 26. Diaz L. 23. Fagner 6. Kaiki 19. Kaio Jorge 41. Leo Aragao (G) 16. Lucas Silva 81. Otavio Costa (G) 75. Rodriguinho 25. Villalba L. 5. Walace 94. Wanderson	22. Alonso M. 18. Bryan Angulo 41. Caicedo E. 21. Cristobal R. 10. Delgado B. 19. Gracia A. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 11. Miranda B. 42. Pabon W. (G) 26. Peralta K. 9. Rigoleto M. 1. Tapia C. (G)
Coaches
Jardim L.	Almeida E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Matheus Henrique ↓, Wanderson ↑,
16', Tapiero S. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Orejuela C. ⚽,
45+2', Arce L. 🟨,
45+2', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
45+3', Wanderson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
66', Mina G. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
72', Orejuela C. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
74', Wanderson ↓, Kaio Jorge ↑,
75', Davila E. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Bentaberry B. ⚽, Alonso M. (A),
82', Dudu ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
82', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
82', Romero L. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
84', Penilla C. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,

Preview

Cruzeiro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mushuc Runa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cruzeiro have a series of guest games.

In this match Cruzeiro is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.04.25	Unión Santa Fe - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
22.02.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTL
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Mushuc Runa - Palestino	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.03.25	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLT

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