Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1+
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Palmeiras		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	5.5
	1.7	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	6.33
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.75	3.66	6.35	Watch
	1.67	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.47 ↓ (3.54)	5.79 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
56.4%

Draw
27.3%

Boca Juniors
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

26.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Palmeiras - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 22. Joaquin Piquerez 8. Ze Rafael 25. Gabriel Menino 12. Mayke 23. Raphael Veiga 14. Artur 10. Rony	1. Romero S. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Figal J. 6. Rojo M. (C) 18. Fabra F. 36. Medina C. 8. Fernandez G. 21. Fernandez I. 19. Barco V. 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Cavani E.
Substitutes
19. Breno Lopes 9. Endrick 35. Fabinho 32. Garcia 40. Jhon Jhon 18. Jose Lopez 37. Kevin 13. Luan 31. Luis Guilherme 42. Marcelo Lomba (G) 27. Richard Rios 6. Vanderlan	9. Benedetto D. 5. Bullaude E. 49. Campuzano J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 11. Janson L. 20. Ramirez J. 2. Roncaglia F. 3. Saracchi M. 25. Valdez B. 15. Valentini N. 57. Weigandt M. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Almiron J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Palmeiras have a series of guest games.

In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
01.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.09.23	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.23	Grêmio - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Palmeiras - Goiás	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWT
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.10.23	Boca Juniors - River Plate	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.09.23	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.09.23	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
15.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
28.09.23	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	0:0
31.10.18	Palmeiras - Boca Juniors	2:2
24.10.18	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	2:0
25.04.18	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	0:2
11.04.18	Palmeiras - Boca Juniors	1:1

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