Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Nubank Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Palmeiras		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.50	10.00	Watch
	1.27	5.25	12.00
	1.28	5.00	11.50	Watch
	1.30	5.18	13.52
	1.37	4.53	10.4	Watch
	1.27	5.10	13.00
	1.29	5.78	10.00	Watch
	1.29	5.60	13.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	5.24 ↑ (5.09)	11.68 ↑ (10.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
73.7%

Draw
18.1%

Cerro Porteño
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	29.4%	0%

Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 32. Martinez E. 26. Murilo 2. Barboza A. 22. Piquerez J. (C) 40. Allan Elias 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J. 9. Vitor Roque	1. Roffo M. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 24. Canete Torres A. D. 35. Chaparro M. 32. Bobadilla C. 18. Gamarra A. 5. Morel J. 10. Dominguez C. 19. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
56. Arthur Gabriel 43. Benedetti 7. Felipe Anderson 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 18. Mauricio 37. Riquelme Fillipi 19. Sosa R.	31. Aliseda I. 13. Benitez A. G. 46. Chena C. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 11. Iturbe J. 40. Klimowicz M. 44. Merolla L. 36. Noguera F. 16. Ramirez I. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Dominguez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Chaparro M. 🟨,
53', Dominguez C. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
57', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
62', Chaparro M. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
62', Gamarra A. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
68', Martinez E. ↓, Arthur Gabriel ↑,
73', Andreas Pereira 🟥,
80', Arias J. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
80', Vitor Roque ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
80', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
86', Morel J. 🟨,
87', Lopez J. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
89', Dominguez F. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Carlos Miguel (Own goal),
90+5', Bobadilla C. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.

Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerro Porteño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs (Surgery) Gomez G. (Muscle Injury) Jefte (Knee Injury) Khellven (Muscle Injury) Paulinho (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Aguayo G. (Surgery) Araujo S. (Inactive) Mosquera H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Chaparro M. (Inactive) Gimenez G. (Injury) Riveros B. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Palmeiras: 17.4% Cerro Porteno: 1.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	0:4 ✺
26.07.26	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
28.07.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	0:1
29.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	1:1
07.05.25	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:2
09.04.25	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:0
24.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:3
20.04.23	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	2:1
06.07.22	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	5:0

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