Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 23

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juventude		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	9	4.75	1.38	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.44
	8.8	4.7	1.34
	8.12	4.59	1.4
	1.00	1.00	1.06	Watch
	7	4.2	1.4
	10.1	5.07	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.36 ↓ (7.36)	4.12 ↓ (4.4)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
12.1%

Draw
21.6%

Flamengo
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.4%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

20.6%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Juventude - Flamengo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Flamengo (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Flamengo (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jandrei (G) 93. Reginaldo 4. Angel W. 3. Luan Freitas 22. Alan Ruschel 16. Jadson 95. Caique Goncalves 44. Mandaca 10. Nene 99. Rafael Bilu 19. Gabriel Taliari	1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 29. Allan 8. Niguez S. 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 7. Luiz Araujo 9. Pedro 16. Samuel Lino
Substitutes
43. Bernardo 97. Enio 7. Gabriel Veron 9. Gilberto 11. Giovanny 25. Guruceaga G. (G) 32. Igor Formiga 33. Lucas Fernandes . Marcelo Hermes 17. Matheus Babi 72. Peixoto 6. Sforza J.	15. Carrascal J. 33. Cleiton 51. Daniel Sales 18. de la Cruz N. 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 30. Michael 50. Plata G. 17. Vina M. 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Niguez S. (A),
41', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
50', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
60', Nene ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
61', Reginaldo ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
62', Mandaca 🟨,
65', Pedro ↓, Plata G. ↑,
71', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
76', Jadson ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
78', Luiz Araujo ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
83', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Gilberto ↑,
86', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
86', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Emerson Royal ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.

Juventude is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flamengo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: Batalla E. (Yellow Cards) Ewerthon (Muscle Injury) Gilberto (Hamstring Injury) Giraldo D. (Yellow Cards) Lucas Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Calf Injury) Bruno Henrique (Suspended) Leo Ortiz (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.25	Ceará - Juventude	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Juventude - Botafogo RJ	1:3 ✺
20.08.25	Juventude - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	2:2 ✺
11.08.25	Juventude - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WLWTW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.25	Flamengo - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	8:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.25	Internacional RS - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
16.04.25	Flamengo - Juventude	6:0
26.10.24	Flamengo - Juventude	4:2
26.06.24	Juventude - Flamengo	2:1
09.11.22	Juventude - Flamengo	2:2
20.07.22	Flamengo - Juventude	4:0
13.10.21	Flamengo - Juventude	3:1
27.06.21	Juventude - Flamengo	1:0

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