The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bahia 36.3%
Draw 30.2%
Palmeiras 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.9%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
29.3%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
53.8%
23.1%
Bahia - Palmeiras Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.
22. Leo Vieira (G) 5. Nicolas Acevedo 33. David Duarte 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 8. Caio Alexandre 6. Jean Lucas 99. Olivera C. 27. Everaldo 16. Erick Pulga
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 56. Arthur Gabriel 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 40. Allan Elias 18. Mauricio 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
7. Ademir 89. Dell 14. Erick 3. Gabriel Xavier 2. Gilberto 31. Gomez R. 25. Iago Borduchi 34. Joao Paulo (G) 43. Luiz Gustavo 15. Michel Araujo 11. Rodrigo 12. Willian Jose
43. Benedetti 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 12. Khellven 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 37. Riquelme Fillipi 19. Sosa R.
Coaches
Mucke R.
Abel Ferreira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
40', Luciano Juba 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Arias J. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Arias J. 🟨,
55', Giay A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, David Duarte ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
60', Mauricio ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
60', Lopez J. ↓, Luighi ↑,
60', Arias J. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
64', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
69', Olivera C. ↓, Ademir ↑,
69', Everaldo ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
69', Caio Alexandre ↓, Erick ↑,
74', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
81', Arthur Gabriel ↓, Khellven ↑,
85', Khellven 🟨,
86', Erick Pulga ↓, Dell ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Ramos S. (Own goal),
90+1', Rogerio Ceni 🟨,
90+1', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
90+2', Luighi 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bahia: Kanu
(Hamstring Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Injury)
Ruan Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
Argentina
Brazil
Ecuador
Israel
Kosovo
Mexico
North-central-america
Paraguay
Portugal
Serbia
Spain
Uruguay
Usa
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Leo Vieira (G) 
Nicolas Acevedo 
Ramos S. 
Gomez G. (C) 
Arias J. 
Abel Ferreira 
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