Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 25

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Aukstaitijos Stadium (Panevėžys)

Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Panevėžys		Džiugas Telšiai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.00	2.40
	2.43	3.15	2.45
	2.68	3.10	2.80
	2.89	3.26	2.4	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.75
	2.60	3.43	2.54	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	2.54 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
34.6%

Draw
29.3%

Džiugas Telšiai
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Džiugas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 32. Rasimavicius R. 33. Keita S. 13. Kerkez S. 66. Balsys D. 6. Ramanauskas M. 77. Bizoza P. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 79. Paulauskas V. 16. Bacanin M. 17. Kurtsev O.	1. Paukste M. (G) 46. Wawszczyk J. 44. Asomugha B. 4. Sane B. 2. Vermeulen V. 6. Pavlovskij N. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 27. Vinckus D. 14. Zevzikovas D. 90. Sobowale R. 9. Scotto I. E.
Substitutes
27. Asamoah K. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 80. Elivelton 15. Janusevskis J. 8. Kouadio S. 25. Lukosevicius I. 4. Mzoughi R. 24. Petkevicius N. 12. Valius L. (G) 5. van den Bos M.	77. Andrezinho 97. Balasanov A. 8. Bunchukov D. 35. Ouattara A. 7. Pedro Bahia 10. Piliukaitis V. 5. Rutkovskis M. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 48. Stelmokas T.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Lipskis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Bizoza P. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Burdzilauskas E. ⚽,
34', Keita S. ↓, Janusevskis J. ↑,
45+3', Zevzikovas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Scotto I. E. ↓, Bunchukov D. ↑,
46', Keita S. ↓, Janusevskis J. ↑,
46', Scotto I. E. ↓, Bunchukov D. ↑,
46', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Pedro Bahia ↑,
62', Pedro Bahia 🟨,
62', Vinckus D. ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
64', Paulauskas V. 🟨,
64', Pavlovskij N. 🟨,
69', Bizoza P. ↓, Bopesu J. ↑,
69', Paulauskas V. ↓, van den Bos M. ↑,
71', Vermeulen V. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', Pavlovskij N. ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
78', van den Bos M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Asomugha B. ⚽,
89', Balsys D. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
90+2', Kerkez S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 1.

Recent form of Panevėžys has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Džiugas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Džiugas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Džiugas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32

Last Results with these Odds

Panevėžys - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Panevėžys	2:1 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Panevėžys - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	1:1 ✺
29.06.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTL
- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
26.07.26	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	4:0
05.04.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
26.10.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	1:4
08.08.25	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
13.06.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	1:1
12.04.25	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1

Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide