Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Paola Hibernians		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.45	3.95	4.75
	1.35	4.7	5.6
	1.34	4.9	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	4.54 ↑ (4)	5.98 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paola Hibernians
65.2%

Draw
19.8%

Lija Athletic
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paola Hibernians's performance.

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation to Division 1).

Hibernians is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lija Athletic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lija Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hibernians is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Hibernians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
21.10.20	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	1:1 ✺
30.09.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Paola Hibernians - Floriana	3:1 ✺
20.09.20	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWL
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Premier League
20.10.20	Lija Athletic - Gżira United	0:3 ✺
17.10.20	Balzan - Lija Athletic	1:0
30.09.20	Lija Athletic - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
18.03.18	Paola Hibernians - Lija Athletic	7:0
28.10.17	Lija Athletic - Paola Hibernians	0:3

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