Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Lija Athletic		Gżira United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.6
	4.4	3.75	1.55
	5.2	4.2	1.47
	5.6	4.67	1.49
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.6	4.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.32)	4.16 ↑ (4)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
17.8%

Draw
21.9%

Gżira United
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

22.4%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

18.6%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gżira United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	4.2%	83.3%

Lija Athletic - Gżira United Predictions

Users Predictions: Gżira United will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Qualification)).

Lija Athletic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gżira is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lija Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gżira is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lija Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Premier League
17.10.20	Balzan - Lija Athletic	1:0
30.09.20	Lija Athletic - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.20	Lija Athletic - Zejtun Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLWL
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
16.10.20	Gżira United - Mosta	6:1 ✺
30.09.20	Valletta - Gżira United	1:3 ✺
26.09.20	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Floriana - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Balzan - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
18.12.17	Gżira United - Lija Athletic	3:2
18.08.17	Lija Athletic - Gżira United	0:4

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