Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Hibernians Ground (Paola)


	Paola Hibernians		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	7	Watch
	1.33	5.07	7.73
	1.33	4.75	7.5
	1.29	5	8.1
	1.3	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	4.89 ↑ (4)	7.63 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paola Hibernians
69.3%

Draw
18.7%

Santa Lucia
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

21.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paola Hibernians's performance.

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kone I. (G) 77. Antwi R. 7. Attard A. 8. Bairam B. 29. Bastianos G. 10. Degabriele J. 31. Eriks 13. Grech Z. 99. Guedes L. 11. Kristensen B. (C) 5. Shaw K.	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 20. Gonzalo V. 22. Hulk 11. Lucas Sena 33. Patrick 9. Pereira W. 17. Pisani J. (C) 18. Tanti J. 10. Tatsuro N.
Substitutes
3. Apap F. 6. Caruana L. 17. Chukunyere I. 1. Debono J. (G) 12. Galea K. (G) 15. Herrera E. 9. Hovhannisyan A. 20. Magro O. 4. Ohaka J. 16. Okoh S. 14. Vallejo M.	21. Carbone J. 1. Cremona M. (G) 80. Gomes E. 4. Johnson M. 19. Mizzi S. 27. Piazza A. 29. Valletta J. 16. Vella D. (G) 6. Vella M. 55. Xerri S. 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Nisevic B.	Zinnari A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 3.

Hibernians is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hibernians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hibernians is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hibernians won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
16.09.23	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.09.23	Paola Hibernians - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:0 ✺
22.08.23	Paola Hibernians - Senglea Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	5:0 ✺
04.08.23	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
17.09.23	Santa Lucia - Floriana	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	Naxxar Lions - Santa Lucia	1:7 ✺
25.08.23	Mosta - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
18.08.23	Sirens - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
19.02.23	Paola Hibernians - Santa Lucia	3:2
16.10.22	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	2:3
29.01.22	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:0
25.09.21	Paola Hibernians - Santa Lucia	1:1
05.12.20	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:3
28.10.19	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:2

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