Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium (Pafos)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5


	Paphos		Aris Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.05
	1.75	3.99	4.37
	1.73	3.83	4.3	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.73	3.8	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.75 ↓ (3.87)	4.21 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
53.3%

Draw
24.7%

Aris Limassol
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

24.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paphos - Aris Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: Paphos will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gorter J. (G) 33. Anderson Silva 77. Correia J. 4. David Luiz (C) 30. Dragomir V. 14. Ioannou N. 23. Luckassen D. 17. Orsic M. 88. Pepe 8. Quina D. 26. Sunjic I.	1. Vana Alves (C) 7. Anderson Correia 18. Bourhane Y. 76. Charalampous C. 99. Effaghe R. 88. Fi Akamba C. 30. Gustavo Paje 28. Kastanos G. 66. Montnor J. 22. Nikolic V. 19. Sane M.
Substitutes
9. Bassouamina M. 50. Brito A. 80. Dani Silva 19. Guessand A. 11. Jaja 18. Lele 42. Michael G. 21. Mimovic O. 20. Odefalk W. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 12. Sema K. 71. Skafi G.	12. Dimitriou A. 29. Gaustad D. 80. Kakoullis A. 2. Kalulu G. 9. Kokorin A. 45. McCausland R. 38. Melas G. 36. Neokleous V. 26. Pishias A. (G) 90. Sofroniou E. (G)
Coaches
Sa Pinto R.	Louka L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Bassouamina M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Correia J. ⚽,
35', Correia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Dragomir V. ⚽,
56', Ioannou N. 🟨,
58', Anderson Correia ↓, Kalulu G. ↑,
59', Ioannou N. ↓, Mimovic O. ↑,
61', Pepe 🟨,
65', Pepe ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
69', Nikolic V. ↓, Kokorin A. ↑,
76', Fi Akamba C. 🟨,
78', Quina D. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
78', Correia J. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
85', Gustavo Paje ↓, Gaustad D. ↑,
85', Kastanos G. ↓, Neokleous V. ↑,
90+5', Gorter J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paphos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paphos is a strong favorite.

There are questionable in Paphos: Goldar D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 6 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pafos	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
8	Aris	4	1	2	1	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
06.05.26	Paphos - Omonia	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	APOEL - Paphos	3:3 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWT
- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
06.05.26	Aris Limassol - APOEL	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Omonia - Aris Limassol	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
14.04.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:1
01.03.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	2:2
21.11.25	Paphos - Aris Limassol	2:1
04.05.25	Paphos - Aris Limassol	4:0
02.04.25	Aris Limassol - Paphos	0:1
Cypriot Cup
15.01.25	Paphos - Aris Limassol	2:1 penalties
Cypriot First Division
11.01.25	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:0

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