What is the expert prediction for Paraguay vs Uruguay?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Paraguay vs Uruguay. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Paraguay vs Uruguay Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, June 05, 2025)

Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 15

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Coteor, Inter Satelital, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Ditu, RCN Television
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
France	DAZN 2, DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	GOL Peru, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	BYM Sports, DSports 1, Simple Plus


	Paraguay		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.63	3.2	Watch
	2.6	2.7	3.1
	2.82	2.62	3.1	Watch
	2.8	2.69	3.3
	2.86	2.65	3.24	Watch
	2.7	2.7	3
	2.87	2.67	3.25	Watch
	2.82	2.62	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.52)	2.66 ↓ (2.96)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay
34.2%

Draw
35.8%

Uruguay
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	56.6%	20.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Paraguay will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). Uruguay will win (votes: 11 - 23.4%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 55.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 69.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Paraguay (votes: 2 - 10%). Uruguay (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 13 - 65%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Paraguay (1.84) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Uruguay (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.11) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Paraguay (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Paraguay (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Uruguay (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Tie (votes: 13 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fernandez R. (G) Cerro Porteno 4. Caceres J. Dynamo Moscow 15. Gomez G. (C) Palmeiras 3. Alderete O. Getafe 6. Alonso J. Atletico-MG 8. Gomez D. Brighton 14. Cubas A. Vancouver Whitecaps 23. Galarza M. Talleres Cordoba 19. Enciso J. Ipswich 10. Almiron M. Atlanta United 9. Sanabria A. Torino	23. Mele S. (G) Junior 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ 4. Araujo R. Barcelona 2. Gimenez J. M. (C) Atl. Madrid 16. Olivera M. Napoli 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 10. de Arrascaeta G. Flamengo RJ 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 7. Aguirre R. Club America 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero Corinthians 18. Avalos G. Independiente 16. Bobadilla D. Sao Paulo 1. Carlos Coronel (G) New York Red Bulls 5. Fabian Balbuena Dynamo Moscow 22. Gill O. (G) San Lorenzo 17. Kaku Al Ain 21. Pitta I. Bragantino 13. Sandez A. Rosario Central 7. Sosa R. Nottingham 2. Velazquez G. Cerro Porteno 20. Villasanti M. Gremio	9. Alvarez A. Elche 3. Bueno S. Wolves 1. Fiermarin C. (G) Deportes Tolima 6. Fonseca N. Club Leon 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 19. Marichal N. Dynamo Moscow 14. Martinez E. Palmeiras 17. Olivera C. Gremio 22. Piquerez J. Palmeiras 18. Rodriguez B. Club America 15. Rodriguez J. Vasco 21. Zalazar R. Braga
Coaches
Alfaro G.	Bielsa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Galarza M. ⚽,
39', Galarza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Olivera M. ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
61', Varela G. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
68', Caceres J. 🟨,
69', Galarza M. ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
69', Sanabria A. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
76', Gomez D. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
77', Pellistri F. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Enciso J. (Pen),
85', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
89', Enciso J. ↓, Kaku ↑,
89', Almiron M. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 0.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Colombia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Paraguay - Chile	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Bolivia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Paraguay - Argentina	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Paraguay - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWTWW
- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Bolivia - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Uruguay - Argentina	0:1 ✺
19.11.24	Brazil - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Uruguay - Colombia	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0
27.01.22	Paraguay - Uruguay	0:1
Copa America
28.06.21	Uruguay - Paraguay	1:0
FIFA World Cup
03.06.21	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0
05.09.17	Paraguay - Uruguay	1:2
06.09.16	Uruguay - Paraguay	4:0
Copa America
20.06.15	Uruguay - Paraguay	1:1

Paraguay - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide