Match Info

Date: 9 September 2020, Wednesday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3	2.8	2.4
	3.1	2.75	2.35	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.37
	3.38	2.99	2.45
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	3.15	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.46)	2.88 ↑ (2.88)	2.39 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
29.3%

Draw
32%

América Mineiro
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

22.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraná Clube Curitiba's form might have worsened.

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	62.1%	20.7%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). América MG will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 6).

Recent matches Paraná is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América MG is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paraná could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Paraná won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
04.09.20	Figueirense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
01.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLT
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
02.09.20	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.08.20	América Mineiro - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.20	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.11.19	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2
03.08.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
10.11.18	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
22.07.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
21.10.17	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1
07.07.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	1:1
14.11.15	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	1:0

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