The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paraná Clube Curitiba 29.9%
Draw 29.5%
Ituano 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
30.3%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
21.8%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraná Clube Curitiba's form might have worsened.
Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ituano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).
Paraná is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.