Match Info

Date: 21 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Ituano

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.2	2.2
	3	3.2	2.15
	3	3	2.28
	3.14	3.11	2.36
	3.2	2.88	2.2
	3.1	3.13	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.61)	3.09 ↑ (3.02)	2.25 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
29.9%

Draw
29.5%

Ituano
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

30.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

24%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraná Clube Curitiba's form might have worsened.

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Paraná is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.21	Figueirense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
07.08.21	Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
02.08.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
23.07.21	Osasco Sporting - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
19.07.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
14.08.21	Ituano - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:2 ✺
07.08.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	0:0 ✺
04.08.21	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
25.07.21	Botafogo SP - Ituano	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Ituano - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.06.21	Ituano - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ituano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ituano Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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