Match Info

Chance Liga - 7th-10th places - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Arnosta Kostala (Pardubice)

Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Pardubice		Karviná

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.5	Watch
				Watch
	1.99	3.69	3.82
	2.16	3.28	3.38	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.97	3.73	3.62	Watch
	1.87	3.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)	3.59 ↓ (3.85)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
47.5%

Draw
26.1%

Karviná
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Pardubice - Karviná Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pardubice will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mandous A. (G) 12. Tredl J. 44. Bammens S. 32. Konecny M. 25. Mahuta R. 7. Vacek K. (C) 16. Jelinek T. 40. Boledovic T. 19. Hlavaty M. 28. Tanko A. 8. Patrak V.	1. Neuman V. (G) 6. Bohac S. (C) 44. Skyba Y. 99. Prebsl F. 9. Labik A. 11. Kacor P. 4. Traore A. 14. Ayaosi E. 10. Samko D. 31. Conde O. 20. Kahuan Vinicius
Substitutes
5. Hamza J. 99. Kharatishvili L. (G) 39. Kopasek S. 17. Krobot L. 18. Misek S. 77. Saarma R. 35. Samuel V. 92. Slyubyk B. 9. Smekal D. 10. Vecheta F. 11. Zima J.	49. Camara S. 24. Chytry J. 26. Ezeh L. 29. Fiala J. 25. Fleisman J. 8. Kristan J. 30. Lapes J. (G) 3. Lawali Y. 19. Milic N. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 21. Sloncik S.
Coaches
Trousil J.	Jarolim M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Patrak V. ⚽, Vacek K. (A),
22', Vacek K. ↓, Samuel V. ↑,
28', Hlavaty M. ↓, Misek S. ↑,
30', Prebsl F. 🟨,
38', Samko D. 🟨,
40', Tredl J. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Conde O. ⚽, Kacor P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Patrak V. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
58', Misek S. 🟨,
66', Kacor P. 🟨,
73', Boledovic T. ↓, Saarma R. ↑,
73', Tredl J. ↓, Hamza J. ↑,
77', Kacor P. ↓, Lawali Y. ↑,
77', Traore A. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
85', Samko D. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
89', Kristan J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 1 - 2, Fiala J. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Samuel V. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
91', Skyba Y. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
96', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
100', Labik A. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
101', 1 - 3, Kahuan Vinicius ⚽,
112', Ayaosi E. ↓, Milic N. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3.

Pardubice is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Karviná's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Karviná has had a series of home games.

Pardubice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pardubice: Botos G. (Injury) Godwin E. (Injury) Solil T. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Karviná: Sigut S. (Suspended) Storman R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Ayaosi E. (Injury) Kacor P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FK Pardubice	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga
02.05.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Pardubice - Zlín	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Pardubice	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Pardubice - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dukla Prague - Pardubice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWWW
- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
02.05.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Karviná - Mladá Boleslav	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
21.04.26	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Dukla Prague - Karviná	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Karviná - Slovan Liberec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
02.05.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2
08.03.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2
04.10.25	Pardubice - Karviná	2:1
24.11.24	Karviná - Pardubice	1:0
27.07.24	Pardubice - Karviná	0:1
19.05.24	Pardubice - Karviná	4:0
14.02.24	Karviná - Pardubice	0:3

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