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Current Win Probability
Concarneau 46.4%
Draw 28.7%
Bastia 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.7%
27.6%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concarneau's form might have worsened.
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Concarneau - Bastia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 25. Lafontaine G. 6. Seba D. 24. Divialle C. 5. Etcheverria B. 26. Sinquin T. 8. Picouleau M. (C) 23. Goujon L. 10. Gbelle G. 22. Macon B. 9. Janno S.
1. De Percin T. (G) 20. Akueson G. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 35. Douce N. 6. Fall F. 13. Melieres C. 17. Eickmayer J. 23. Garnier E. 33. Alebate N. 3. Makalou H. 7. Rodrigues C.
Substitutes
2. Benabdelouahed K. 18. Da Silva F. 40. Patron P. (G) 14. Rosier L. 17. Sidibe A. 7. Varvat J. 15. Yatera D.
29. Boumaaoui M. 16. Contena S. (G) 25. Diarra D. 34. Djedje D. 28. Petrignani M. 14. Tamba D. 10. Zaouai A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Akueson G. 🟨,
31', Lafontaine G. ↓, Benabdelouahed K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Douce N. 🟨,
53', Melieres C. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Garnier E. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Goujon L. ⚽,
64', Macon B. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
65', Gbelle G. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
70', Rodrigues C. ↓, Boumaaoui M. ↑,
70', Makalou H. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
80', Da Silva F. 🟨,
81', Goujon L. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
84', Melieres C. ↓, Djedje D. ↑,
90', Alebate N. ↓, Petrignani M. ↑,
90', Garnier E. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
90+2', Boumaaoui M. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 12th).
Concarneau has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bastia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Concarneau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Concarneau holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Concarneau has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Concarneau against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
France
Italy
United Kingdom
Watch
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Viot V. (G) 
Lafontaine G. 
Akueson G. 
Fall F. 
Garnier E. 
Alebate N. 
Makalou H. 
Benabdelouahed K. 
Yatera D. 
Djedje D. 
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