Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Andorra	17:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	17:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Sport 1
Canada	11:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	00:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	17:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	17:00	Viaplay
Finland	18:00	Viaplay
France	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, CANAL+ Foot, DAZN France, Free, Molotov TV
Germany	17:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	18:00	5 STARS Israel
Italy	17:00	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	17:00	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Mexico	10:00	FOX One
Netherlands	17:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:00	Viaplay
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Portugal	16:00	Sport TV3
Russia	19:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	17:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	17:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	01:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United Kingdom	16:00	DAZN
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	23:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	16:00	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.8	Watch
	3.95	3.95	1.82	Watch
	4.2	3.97	1.84
	4.1	3.97	1.81	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.83
	4.27	4.01	1.88	Watch
	4	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.96)	3.91 ↓ (3.98)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
23.4%

Draw
24.4%

Olympique Marseille
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.7%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.6%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Olympique Marseille aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	24.3%	64.9%

Paris FC - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Marseille (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 7. Gory A. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 6. Otavio 19. Sangui N. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. (C) 17. Camara A. 27. Simon M. 11. Krasso J.	1. Rulli G. (G) 5. Balerdi L. (C) 21. Aguerd N. 32. Medina F. 22. Weah T. 23. Hojbjerg P. 27. Timber Q. 14. Paixao I. 10. Greenwood M. 11. Nwaneri E. 97. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
42. Coppola D. 9. Geubbels W. 93. Ikone J. 24. Koleosho L. 20. Lopez J. 4. Marchetti V. 18. Munetsi M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 2. Ollila T.	12. De Lange J. (G) 9. Gouiri A. 19. Kondogbia G. 62. Murillo M. 26. Nadir B. 17. O'Riley M. 28. Pavard B. 20. Traore H. J. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Gilli S.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Lopez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lopez M. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
64', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
64', Krasso J. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
64', Gory A. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
67', Aubameyang P. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
67', Nwaneri E. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
72', Medina F. 🟨,
79', Paixao I. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
79', Timber Q. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
80', Weah T. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
81', Traore H. J. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Ikone J. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
86', Camara A. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
90+2', Rulli G. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Kebbal I. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Nadir B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.

In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) De Smet T. (Injury) Dicko N. (Inactive) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Emerson (Thigh Injury) Gomes A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Lopez M. (Thigh Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14
8	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18:13	5	12

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.67% Marseille: 0.82%

Last Results with these Odds

Olympique Marseille - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Paris FC - Angers	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
12.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Raon LEtape - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TWWLW
- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Angers - Olympique Marseille	2:5 ✺
Coupe De France
13.01.26	Bayeux - Olympique Marseille	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	5:2

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