Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, CANAL+ Foot, DAZN France, Free, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.8	Watch
	3.95	3.95	1.82	Watch
	4.2	3.97	1.84
	4.1	3.97	1.81	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.83
	4.27	4.01	1.88	Watch
	4	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.96)	3.91 ↓ (3.98)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paris FC
23.4%

Draw
24.4%

Olympique Marseille
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.7%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.3%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	24.3%	64.9%

Paris FC - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Marseille (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 7. Gory A. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 6. Otavio 19. Sangui N. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. (C) 17. Camara A. 27. Simon M. 11. Krasso J.	1. Rulli G. (G) 5. Balerdi L. (C) 21. Aguerd N. 32. Medina F. 22. Weah T. 23. Hojbjerg P. 27. Timber Q. 14. Paixao I. 10. Greenwood M. 11. Nwaneri E. 97. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
42. Coppola D. 9. Geubbels W. 93. Ikone J. 24. Koleosho L. 20. Lopez J. 4. Marchetti V. 18. Munetsi M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 2. Ollila T.	12. De Lange J. (G) 9. Gouiri A. 19. Kondogbia G. 62. Murillo M. 26. Nadir B. 17. O'Riley M. 28. Pavard B. 20. Traore H. J. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Gilli S.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Lopez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lopez M. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
64', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
64', Krasso J. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
64', Gory A. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
67', Aubameyang P. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
67', Nwaneri E. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
72', Medina F. 🟨,
79', Paixao I. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
79', Timber Q. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
80', Weah T. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
81', Traore H. J. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Ikone J. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
86', Camara A. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
90+2', Rulli G. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Kebbal I. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Nadir B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.

In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) De Smet T. (Injury) Dicko N. (Inactive) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Emerson (Thigh Injury) Gomes A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Lopez M. (Thigh Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81% Marseille: 1.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7:8	-1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Olympique Marseille - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Paris FC - Angers	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
12.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Raon LEtape - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TWWLW
- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Angers - Olympique Marseille	2:5 ✺
Coupe De France
13.01.26	Bayeux - Olympique Marseille	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	5:2

Upcoming Matches