Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 3, Free, Molotov TV, New World TV
Germany	Magenta Sport
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Totalplay, TVC Deportes
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Paris Saint-Germain		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11	Watch
	1.16	9.2	12.5
	1.2	8.01	13.34	Watch
	1.17	7.5	12
	1.2	7.7	15	Watch
	1.18	7.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.18)	7.9 ↑ (6.93)	12.47 ↑ (12.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
80.3%

Draw
12%

Paris FC
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79%

13.4%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The chances for Paris FC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Paris Saint Germain - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 72.7% – 98.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - PSG (1.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - PSG (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 17 - 85%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chevalier L. (G) 2. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 5. Pacho W. 3. Mayulu S. 10. Vitinha (C) 8. Ruiz F. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 9. Ramos G. 11. Barcola B.	1. Nkambadio O. (G) 3. Sangui N. 5. Mbow M. 4. Kolodziejczak T. 6. Otavio 2. Ollila T. 7. Gory A. 10. Lopez M. (C) 8. Camara A. 11. Cafaro M. 9. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
17. Dembele O. 18. Doue D. 20. James M. (G) 12. Marin R. (G) 14. Marquinhos 15. Mendes N. 16. Neves J. 19. Nsoki N.	16. Dao M. 13. De Smet T. 14. Doucet L. 18. Ikone J. 17. Kebbal I. 15. Khaldi Z. 20. Koleosho L. 19. Lopez J. 12. Trapp K. (G)
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gory A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Geubbels W. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
46', Ollila T. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
61', Cafaro M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
64', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
64', Pacho W. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
65', Mayulu S. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Ikone J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
78', Doue D. 🟨,
83', De Smet T. 🟨,
90', Otavio 🟨,

Preview

PSG has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paris FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Super Cup
08.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Fontenay - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
17.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Flamengo	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Raon LEtape - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Paris FC - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1

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