Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	14:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Pisa		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05
	2.66	2.96	3.25
	2.55	2.94	3.18	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.1
	2.65	3.01	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.49)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
37.2%

Draw
32.7%

Cagliari
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	61.5%	23.1%

Pisa - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cagliari (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cagliari (3.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cagliari (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Pisa (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Cagliari (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 7. Leris M. 20. Aebischer M. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 10. Tramoni M. 32. Moreo S. 17. Durosinmi R.	1. Caprile E. (G) 32. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. (C) 22. Dossena A. 33. Obert A. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 25. Sulemana I. 9. Kilicsoy S. 90. Folorunsho M.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 39. Albiol R. 2. Bozhinov R. 26. Coppola F. 8. Hojholt M. 19. Iling Junior S. 35. Loyola F. 31. Luppichini M. (G) 9. Meister H. 36. Piccinini G. 1. Semper A. (G) 81. Stojilkovic F. 15. Toure I.	20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 14. Deiola A. 27. Liteta J. 40. Malfitano R. 4. Mazzitelli L. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 15. Rodriguez J. 12. Sherri A. (G) 38. Sulev I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Moreo S. (Penalty Awarded),
16', Marin M. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
37', Durosinmi R. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mina Y. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
46', Adopo M. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
46', Calabresi A. ↓, Albiol R. ↑,
47', Pedro J. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Caracciolo Ant. ⚽,
54', 3 - 0, Caracciolo Ant. ⚽,
59', Obert A. 🟨,
61', Aebischer M. 🟨,
64', Gaetano G. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
64', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Pavoletti L. ⚽, Dossena A. (A),
72', Tramoni M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
76', Pedro J. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
78', Dossena A. 🟨,
81', Obert A. 🟨,
90', Leris M. ↓, Toure I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).

Pisa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cagliari has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Scuffet S. (Muscle Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Esposito Se. (Yellow Cards) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Cuadrado J. (Stomach Disorder) Lorran (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Juventus - Pisa	4:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pisa - Bologna	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Pisa - Milan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cagliari - Lazio	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.12.25	Cagliari - Pisa	2:2
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Pisa - Cagliari	0:0
12.11.22	Cagliari - Pisa	1:1
Coppa Italia
14.08.21	Cagliari - Pisa	3:1

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