Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Pisa		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05
	2.66	2.96	3.25
	2.55	2.94	3.18	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.1
	2.65	3.01	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.49)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
37.2%

Draw
32.7%

Cagliari
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	61.5%	23.1%

Pisa - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cagliari (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cagliari (3.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cagliari (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Pisa (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Cagliari (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 7. Leris M. 20. Aebischer M. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 10. Tramoni M. 32. Moreo S. 17. Durosinmi R.	1. Caprile E. (G) 32. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. (C) 22. Dossena A. 33. Obert A. 2. Palestra M. 8. Adopo M. 10. Gaetano G. 25. Sulemana I. 9. Kilicsoy S. 90. Folorunsho M.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 39. Albiol R. 2. Bozhinov R. 26. Coppola F. 8. Hojholt M. 19. Iling Junior S. 35. Loyola F. 31. Luppichini M. (G) 9. Meister H. 36. Piccinini G. 1. Semper A. (G) 81. Stojilkovic F. 15. Toure I.	20. Albarracin A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 14. Deiola A. 27. Liteta J. 40. Malfitano R. 4. Mazzitelli L. 31. Mendy P. 30. Pavoletti L. 18. Raterink O. 15. Rodriguez J. 12. Sherri A. (G) 38. Sulev I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Moreo S. (Penalty Awarded),
16', Marin M. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
37', Durosinmi R. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mina Y. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
46', Adopo M. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
46', Calabresi A. ↓, Albiol R. ↑,
47', Pedro J. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Caracciolo Ant. ⚽,
54', 3 - 0, Caracciolo Ant. ⚽,
59', Obert A. 🟨,
61', Aebischer M. 🟨,
64', Gaetano G. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
64', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Pavoletti L. ⚽, Dossena A. (A),
72', Tramoni M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
76', Pedro J. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
78', Dossena A. 🟨,
81', Obert A. 🟨,
90', Leris M. ↓, Toure I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).

Pisa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cagliari has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Scuffet S. (Muscle Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Esposito Se. (Yellow Cards) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Cuadrado J. (Stomach Disorder) Lorran (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Juventus - Pisa	4:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pisa - Bologna	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Pisa - Milan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cagliari - Lazio	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Roma - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.12.25	Cagliari - Pisa	2:2
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Pisa - Cagliari	0:0
12.11.22	Cagliari - Pisa	1:1
Coppa Italia
14.08.21	Cagliari - Pisa	3:1

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