Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
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Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
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Poland	Eleven Sports 4
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Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
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Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Udinese		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.9	Watch
	2.22	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.24	3.01	4.06
	2.15	3.03	3.98	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.75
	2.26	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	2.96 ↑ (2.83)	3.9 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
43.4%

Draw
32.2%

Parma
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

33.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

33.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	40%	4%

Udinese - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Parma will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Parma (3.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Parma (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 24. Piotrowski J. 11. Kamara H. 14. Atta A. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 10. Zaniolo N.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 3. Ndiaye A. 15. Delprato E. (C) 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 14. Valeri E. 9. Pellegrino M. 7. Strefezza G.
Substitutes
20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 22. Mlacic B. 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.	11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 40. Corvi E. (G) 23. Elphege N. 8. Estevez N. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 5. Valenti L.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pellegrino M. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Elphege N. ⚽, Strefezza G. (A),
64', Piotrowski J. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
64', Kamara H. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
66', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
66', Strefezza G. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
70', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
72', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
73', Ehizibue K. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
73', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
75', Ndiaye A. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
81', Kristensen T. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
84', Karlstrom J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 4.

Recent performances by Udinese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Parma has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Udinese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Udinese: Davis K. (Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Zemura J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.3:1.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Udinese: 0.22% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Parma - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 24.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Genoa - Udinese	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Udinese - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.1 WTWLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Torino - Parma	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2
01.03.25	Udinese - Parma	1:0
16.09.24	Parma - Udinese	2:3
21.02.21	Parma - Udinese	2:2
18.10.20	Udinese - Parma	3:2
26.01.20	Parma - Udinese	2:0
01.09.19	Udinese - Parma	1:3

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