Match Info

Serie A - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	18:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	13:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Udinese		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.9	Watch
	2.22	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.24	3.01	4.06
	2.15	3.03	3.98	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.75
	2.26	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	2.96 ↑ (2.83)	3.9 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
43.4%

Draw
32.2%

Parma
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

33.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

33.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	40%	4%

Udinese - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Parma will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Parma (3.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Parma (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 24. Piotrowski J. 11. Kamara H. 14. Atta A. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 10. Zaniolo N.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 3. Ndiaye A. 15. Delprato E. (C) 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 14. Valeri E. 9. Pellegrino M. 7. Strefezza G.
Substitutes
20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 22. Mlacic B. 93. Padelli D. (G) 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.	11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 40. Corvi E. (G) 23. Elphege N. 8. Estevez N. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 5. Valenti L.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pellegrino M. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Elphege N. ⚽, Strefezza G. (A),
64', Piotrowski J. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
64', Kamara H. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
66', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
66', Strefezza G. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
70', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
72', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
73', Ehizibue K. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
73', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
75', Ndiaye A. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
81', Kristensen T. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
84', Karlstrom J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 4.

Recent performances by Udinese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Parma has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Udinese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Udinese: Davis K. (Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Zemura J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Udinese	8	1	1	6	9:18	-9	4
19	Parma	8	1	1	6	5:15	-10	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Udinese: 0.17% Parma: 0.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Parma - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 24.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Udinese - Como	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Genoa - Udinese	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Udinese - Juventus	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.1 WTWLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Torino - Parma	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2
01.03.25	Udinese - Parma	1:0
16.09.24	Parma - Udinese	2:3
21.02.21	Parma - Udinese	2:2
18.10.20	Udinese - Parma	3:2
26.01.20	Parma - Udinese	2:0
01.09.19	Udinese - Parma	1:3

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