Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Parnahyba		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.75
	4.5	3.25	1.72
	4.21	3.09	1.81
	4.25	3.4	1.8
	4	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.13)	3.27 ↓ (5.5)	1.78 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parnahyba
21.5%

Draw
27.7%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

16.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parnahyba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parnahyba's form might have worsened.

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviário Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parnahyba than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parnahyba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Parnahyba - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Parnahyba is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ferroviário could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferroviário is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Parnahyba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Parnahyba
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Caucaia - Parnahyba	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Parnahyba	6:0 ✺
03.06.23	Parnahyba - Cordino	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Maranhão - Parnahyba	4:0 ✺
21.05.23	Parnahyba - Fluminense Piaui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maranhão	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Parnahyba	6:0 ✺
03.06.23	Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Caucaia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Parnahyba	6:0

Parnahyba - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide