Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Elbasan Arena (Elbasani)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)


	Partizani Tirana		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.1	6.75
	1.48	4.25	6.5
	1.48	4.2	7.1
	1.46	4.33	6.9	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	4.27 ↑ (4.24)	6.74 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizani Tirana
64.2%

Draw
21.9%

Valmiera
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizani Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizani Tirana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Partizani Tirana - Valmiera Predictions

Users Predictions: Partizani Tirana will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Qirko P. (G) 44. Hadroj A. 23. Preka M. 17. Kocijan M. 28. Sota E. 3. Atanaskoski D. 27. Taipi G. 7. Mehmeti A. 14. Gueye M. 99. Rrapaj A. 22. Cara T. (C)	1. Olses C. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 4. Veips R. 2. Balodis D. (C) 3. Sliede N. 17. Fall P. 10. Jaunzems A. 99. Kayramani F. 7. Silva G. 22. Diop M. 24. Ndoye A.
Substitutes
88. Bilalli S. 24. Bintsouka A. 26. Buxhelaj P. 11. Grezda E. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 10. Keko A. 20. Kote G. 21. Murataj V. 6. Zekolli L.	27. Birka E. 8. Cudars K. 37. Gonsalves T. 26. Lauva K. (G) 75. Leo Gaucho 11. Penaloza Ragga J. S. 28. Pulis I. 16. Volkovs K.
Coaches
Zekic Z.	Kalns J.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches Partizani is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valmiera is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Partizani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Partizani have a series of guest games.

Recently Valmiera have a series of home games.

In this match Partizani is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Partizani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partizani Tirana
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Roma - Partizani Tirana	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Valmiera - Partizani Tirana	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Partizani Tirana - Atlètic Escaldes	4:1 ✺
25.07.23	Atlètic Escaldes - Partizani Tirana	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	BATE Borisov - Partizani Tirana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
13.08.23	Valmiera - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Valmiera - Partizani Tirana	1:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.08.23	Valmiera - Metta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Valmiera - Tre Penne	7:0 ✺
25.07.23	Tre Penne - Valmiera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Valmiera - Partizani Tirana	1:2

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