Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Gimnasia La Plata		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.2
	1.7	3.75	4.8
	1.68	3.65	4.3
	1.68	3.78	4.39
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.71	3.65	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.26)	3.57 ↑ (3.1)	4.49 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
53.8%

Draw
25.7%

Patronato Parana
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

34.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata's performance.

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patronato Parana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia La Plata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patronato Parana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	9.6%	2.2%

Gimnasia La Plata - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 136 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 120 - 88.2%). Patronato will win (votes: 3 - 2.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 82.8% – 93.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Gimnasia La Plata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnasia La Plata is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.08.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
24.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	1:0 ✺
21.07.22	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Colón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLT
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.08.22	Banfield - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
26.07.22	Barracas Central - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Patronato Parana - Tigre	1:0 ✺
14.07.22	Central Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.06.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Patronato Parana	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.04.22	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia La Plata	0:6
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.12.21	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.04.21	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia La Plata	4:1
22.11.20	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
30.10.20	Gimnasia La Plata - Patronato Parana	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.20	Gimnasia La Plata - Patronato Parana	1:1

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