Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4


	Patronato Parana		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.7
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.73	3.23	2.8
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.71	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
35.5%

Draw
29.7%

Olimpia Asuncion
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Patronato Parana - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 23. Ruiz M. 13. Ojeda S. (C) 29. Gonzalez C. 3. Cobos F. 10. Valdez J. 5. Domingo N. 28. Solis N. 16. Barinaga J. 7. Esquivel J. 34. Levato M.	1. Olveira G. (G) 29. Salazar V. 14. Cardozo F. 21. Alcaraz A. (C) 36. Zabala F. 23. Romana J. 3. Silva A. 27. Ramon Martinez 15. Gamarra M. 7. Fernandez H. 11. Torres I.
Substitutes
8. Arce D. 27. Budino M. (G) 37. Comas L. 9. Diaz E. 36. Ghiraldello J. 25. Gonzalez K. 30. Kruspzky L. 19. Malimberni S. 21. Ramos A. 32. Russo I. 22. Sosa A. 15. Vazquez F.	26. Barreto Viera O. J. 9. Bruera F. 32. Cornet R. 12. Espinola J. (G) 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 13. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 16. Paiva G. 8. Quintana H. 18. Quintana S. 35. Torres D. 33. Wlk Dure A. S. 2. Zarate L.
Coaches
Otta W.	Aguirre D.

Preview

Recent matches Patronato is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olimpia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Olimpia have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	San Telmo - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Patronato Parana - Temperley	3:1 ✺
07.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Patronato Parana - FBC Melgar	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.05.23	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
16.05.23	Olimpia Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Atlético Nacional - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Patronato Parana	1:0

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