The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 49.8%
Draw 29.5%
San Martín de San Juan 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
32.7%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
33.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quilmes's performance.
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quilmes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Quilmes - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 10. Batista A. 3. Bindella A. 7. Martinez R. 6. Novillo J. 4. Ortega A. 2. Romeo L. 9. Spetale A. 8. Vega G. 11. Vera U. 5. Yangali J.
1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 7. Acosta G. 3. Alvarez D. 6. Cocca M. 11. Coronel F. 10. Gonzalez S. 8. Iachetti N. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 4. Nadalin F. 2. Osores M. 9. Rossi G.
Substitutes
19. Bonacci P. 12. Canadell J. (G) 17. Colazo N. 20. Coronel J. . Kippes A. . Lavezzi A. . Ortega T. 14. Vallejos M. . Yozwiak F.
13. Aguilera E. 19. Ferreyra L. 12. Garzon L. (G) 14. Hachen G. 17. Jaurena S. 20. Nieva R. 15. Paz N. 16. Pelaitay N. 18. Rumbolo R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Osores M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osores M. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
48', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Bindella A. ⚽,
57', Iachetti N. ↓, Ferreyra L. ↑,
57', Coronel F. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
62', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
68', Vera U. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
73', Aguilera E. 🟨,
75', Yangali J. 🟨,
76', Novillo J. 🟨,
76', Acosta G. 🟨,
77', Gonzalez S. ↓, Hachen G. ↑,
83', Spetale A. ↓, Kippes A. ↑,
83', Yangali J. ↓, Yozwiak F. ↑,
88', Nadalin F. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
88', Ortega A. ↓, Vallejos M. ↑,
88', Martinez R. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
90', Cocca M. 🟥,
90+4', Yozwiak F. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Martín is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Quilmes might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
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