The best margin for this event is -0.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago 49.7%
Draw 30.1%
Patronato Parana 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
32.8%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
32.7%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nueva Chicago's performance.
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patronato Parana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nueva Chicago that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patronato Parana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
18.2%
0%
Nueva Chicago - Patronato Parana Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nueva Chicago: 59% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nueva Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Gissi D. (C) 6. Zalazar R. E. 3. Arroyo D. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Gonzalez A. 10. Cardozo E. 11. Balbuena R. 7. Ocampo T. 9. Castro F.
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda W. 2. Meritello F. 6. Evangelista F. 3. Genez N. 8. Salas J. 5. Picco A. (C) 10. Barinaga J. P. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Barolin J. 9. Reynaga R.
Substitutes
13. Antunes I. 20. Bergara M. 12. Bersce L. (G) 14. Paz G. 15. Pereyra J. 18. Perez M. 19. Petrecca N. 17. Rogoski M. 16. Trindade G.
18. Bravo B. 15. Brugevin M. 13. Diaz F. N. 17. Heredia F. 14. Moreyra F. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 20. Rivero H. 19. Salega G. 16. Villarreal V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Palazzo B. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Reynaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Balbuena R. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
46', Palazzo B. ↓, Antunes I. ↑,
54', Cardozo E. ↓, Petrecca N. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Ocampo T. (A),
67', Rueda W. 🟨,
71', Barolin J. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
77', Masuero F. 🟨,
78', Zalazar R. E. ↓, Paz G. ↑,
79', Reynaga R. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
90', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Bravo B. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez T. ↓, Rogoski M. ↑,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th and 16th).
Nueva Chicago is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Patronato has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nueva Chicago may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Patronato has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Nueva Chicago is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nueva Chicago against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Masuero F. (G) 
Gissi D. (C) 
Brugevin M. 
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