The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 42%
Draw 34.1%
Tristán Suárez 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
34%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
33.5%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristán Suárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Patronato (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (C) 4. Rueda W. 2. Diaz G. 6. Meritello F. 3. Moreyra F. 5. Bravo F. 8. Salas J. 10. Cortes B. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Barolin J. 9. Reynaga R.
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Aguilar B. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 7. Molina A. 5. Del Priore N. (C) 8. Sanchez N. 10. Colli K. 11. Almada A. 9. Alvarez M.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 15. Barinaga J. P. 12. Caballero M. (G) 18. Enrique M. 14. Heredia F. 17. Miro A. 13. Piccioni S. 16. Picco A. 19. Strey L.
18. Becker D. 20. Berrondo A. 13. Guzman M. 14. Henry N. 16. Luayza M. 17. Magnotta S. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Sanchez A. 19. Veliez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Alvarez M. ⚽, Del Priore N. (A),
39', Del Priore N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Reynaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Reynaga R. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
68', Almada A. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
68', Colli K. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
72', Sanchez N. ↓, Luayza M. ↑,
72', Alvarez M. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
76', Salas J. ↓, Miro A. ↑,
88', Barolin J. ↓, Barinaga J. P. ↑,
88', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
88', Fernandez N. ↓, Henry N. ↑,
90+5', Henry N. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Patronato will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Patronato Parana - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Cortes B. 
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