Match Info

Date: 2 March 2021, Tuesday


	Pau		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.2
	2.3	3.33	3.36
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.32	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.53)	3.21 ↑ (3.12)	3.34 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
42.7%

Draw
29.2%

Châteauroux
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Pau - Châteauroux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pau has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Châteauroux has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Recent matches Pau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Châteauroux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pau will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
27.02.21	Pau - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Niort - Pau	2:1 ✺
13.02.21	Pau - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
05.02.21	Nancy - Pau	1:0 ✺
02.02.21	Pau - Amiens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTLW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
27.02.21	Châteauroux - Nancy	1:4 ✺
20.02.21	Paris FC - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Châteauroux - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
05.02.21	Niort - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
02.02.21	Châteauroux - Chambly	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.11.20	Châteauroux - Pau	0:3
Coupe De France
08.12.18	Châteauroux - Pau	4:0
French Ligue 3
05.05.17	Châteauroux - Pau	1:0
Coupe De France
08.01.17	Châteauroux - Pau	4:1
French Ligue 3
14.12.16	Pau - Châteauroux	1:1

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