Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Lepaysant B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Pau		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.4
	3.15	3.15	2.28	Watch
	3.32	3.06	2.46
	3.25	2.8	2.4
	3.2	2.98	2.44	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.61)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.38 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
29.2%

Draw
31.3%

Le Havre
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Pau - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Pau has the most likely position - 16 (15.45%), project points - 44, currently - 33, a chance of relegated (27%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (76.12%), project points - 75, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, a good chance of promoted (93%), a good chance of win league (76%).

This event has quality 32, big importance 71, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
18.03.23	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Pau - Niort	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Amiens - Pau	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Pau - Laval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
18.03.23	Le Havre - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Metz - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Le Havre - Laval	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Grenoble - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.08.22	Le Havre - Pau	1:1
02.04.22	Pau - Le Havre	2:1
23.10.21	Le Havre - Pau	1:0
27.02.21	Pau - Le Havre	2:0
31.10.20	Le Havre - Pau	1:0

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