Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Paulista		Nacional SP

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.86	4.01
	1.96	3.03	4.05	Watch
	1.86	3.05	4.29
	2.05	2.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	4.14 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
46.7%

Draw
31.3%

Nacional SP
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

31.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

31%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Nacional SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Paulista - Nacional SP Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paulista (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Silva L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Filipinho ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Christopher ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Paulista will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paulista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.04.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Joseense - Paulista	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Paulista - Joseense	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	VOCEM - Paulista	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Paulista - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTTT
- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.04.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	São Caetano - Nacional SP	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nacional SP - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Nacional SP - VOCEM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.04.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:1
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0

Paulista - Nacional SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide