Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Pavia		Chievo

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.42	2.15	Watch
	2.98	3.32	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.15 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavia
30.6%

Draw
27%

Chievo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Chievo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Pavia - Chievo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Paloschi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+18', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Chievo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pavia - Casatese	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Scanzorosciate - Pavia	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pavia - Leon	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Pavia - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLLT
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Chievo - Leon	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Castellanzese - Chievo	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Chievo - Varesina	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Vogherese - Chievo	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Chievo - Brusaporto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Pavia - Chievo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide