Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Paysandu		Penarol

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Paysandu
65.1%

Draw
20.9%

Penarol
14%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

20.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Penarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paysandu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penarol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Paysandu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Penarol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Penarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paysandu is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
16.10.21	Ituano - Paysandu	3:1 ✺
11.10.21	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Criciúma - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Altos - Paysandu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWW
- Penarol AC
Brazilian Serie D
18.09.21	4 de Julho - Penarol	3:0 ✺
12.09.21	Penarol - 4 de Julho	1:0 ✺
05.09.21	Penarol - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Castanhal - Penarol	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Penarol - Fast Clube	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWTW

Paysandu - Penarol