Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Paysandu		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.95	1.85
	4	3	1.91
	4	3.05	1.88
	4.92	3.23	1.83
	4.33	3	1.78
	4.35	3.18	1.82	Watch
	4.1	3.1	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (2.36)	3.07 ↑ (2.88)	1.85 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
21.4%

Draw
29.6%

Vitória Salvador
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

33.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória Salvador's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	3.2%	67.7%

Paysandu - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Vitória will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Play Offs)).

Paysandu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
17.09.22	ABC - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Paysandu - ABC	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie C
18.09.22	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Vitória Salvador - ABC	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
21.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0
17.07.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.15	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	3:1
23.06.15	Paysandu - Vitória Salvador	1:0

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