The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volta Redonda 41.6%
Draw 31%
Athletic Club 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
29.9%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
29.2%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
87.5%
0%
Volta Redonda - Athletic Club Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Athletic (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Athletic (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Jefferson Paulino (G) 15. Lucas Adell 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Fabricio 2. Wellington Silva (C) 16. Rai 28. Andre Luiz 6. Sanchez 7. Joao Pedro 23. Matheus Lucas 11. MV
31. Adriel (G) 2. Douglas Pele 44. Alex Nascimento 4. Sidimar (C) 84. Rodrigo Gelado 20. Joao Miguel 38. Sandry 7. Welinton Torrao 10. David Braga 17. Da Cruz A. 21. Tavares R.
Substitutes
26. Adsson 5. Bruno Barra 20. Chavez Cruz L. L. 14. Chay 29. Daniel Cabral 27. Dener 12. Jean Drosny (G) . Jhonny 22. Juninho Monteiro 8. Leo Ceara 10. PK
11. Ezequiel 14. Fabricio Isidoro 36. Felipe Vieira 25. Glauco (G) 1. Jefferson Luis (G) 13. Jhonatan Silva 55. Martinez F. 96. Matheus Guilherme 77. Max 19. Neto Costa 52. Wesley Gasolina 6. Yuri
Coaches
Rogerio Correa
Duarte R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Joao Pedro 🟨,
35', Sanchez 🟨,
39', Joao Miguel 🟨,
39', Matheus Lucas 🟨,
43', Douglas Pele 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
46', Sanchez ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
46', Fabricio ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
59', Joao Miguel ↓, Fabricio Isidoro ↑,
59', Da Cruz A. ↓, Max ↑,
63', 0 - 1, David Braga ⚽,
67', Matheus Lucas ↓, Kayke ↑,
71', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
72', Andre Luiz ↓, PK ↑,
76', Welinton Torrao ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
76', Alex Nascimento ↓, Yuri ↑,
76', David Braga ↓, Jhonatan Silva ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Jhonatan Silva ⚽, Sandry (A),
83', Neto Costa 🟨,
84', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
90+7', Wellington Silva 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 16).
Volta Redonda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Athletic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Volta Redonda will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.