The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 47.8%
Draw 30.5%
Paysandu 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
28.3%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
27.4%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Chapecoense - Paysandu Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
12. Leo Vieira (G) 22. Mailton 37. Clar W. 4. Joao Paulo 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 99. Rafael Carvalheira 16. Bruno Matias 10. Giovanni Augusto 18. Neto Pessoa 7. Marcinho
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 4. Luan Freitas 16. Reverson 44. Thiago Heleno 6. Thalisson 29. Anderson Leite 11. Marlon Douglas 28. Leandro Vilela (C) 10. Mauricio Garcez 20. Denner 92. Benitez J.
Substitutes
14. Bressan 76. Felipe Vieira 2. Gabriel Inocencio 77. Italo 5. Jorge Jimenez 90. Mailson 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G) 28. Romulo 70. Rubens Ricoldi 25. Victor Caetano
8. Andre Lima 17. Delvalle P. 9. Diogo Oliveira 2. Edilson 30. Marcelinho 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 35. Mauricio Antonio 5. Novillo J. 94. Patric Calmon 25. Ronaldo Henrique
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo
Claudinei Oliveira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Clar W. ⚽, Mailton (A),
45+2', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
46', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Victor Caetano ↑,
55', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Clar W. ⚽,
58', Benitez J. ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
58', Marlon Douglas ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
67', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
69', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Italo ↑,
69', Joao Paulo 🟨,
70', Marcinho ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
75', Luan Freitas ↓, Edilson ↑,
75', Denner ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
78', Leo Vieira 🟨,
81', Leo Vieira ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
88', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
90+7', Victor Caetano 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Paysandu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Everton
(Inactive)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Mancha
(Inactive)
There will not play in Paysandu: Matheus Vargas
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo
(Injury)
Getulio
(Injury)
There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Rossi
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Brazil
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