Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 24

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	Disney+
Brazil	20:30	Disney+
Mexico	17:30	Disney+
Peru	18:30	Disney+
Uruguay	20:30	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	19:30	Disney+


	Paysandú		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.80	2.55
	2.75	3.00	2.38
	2.79	2.94	2.73
	2.76	3.03	2.65	Watch
	2.70	2.85	2.65
	2.64	3.21	2.64	Watch
	2.70	2.80	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.97)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	2.6 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
33.7%

Draw
31.1%

Colón Montevideo
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

30.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colón Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Paysandú - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Mendez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
78', 2 - 0, Vique A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Quintana R. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 2 - 2, Quintana R. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Vique A. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 4th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Paysandú has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paysandú against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Colon	24	10	6	8	28:27	1	36
5	Paysandu FC	24	10	4	10	32:31	1	34

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.10.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Paysandú	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Miramar Misiones - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Paysandú - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLTT
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.10.26	Colón Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Colón Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	River Plate Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3
13.03.26	Paysandú - Colón Montevideo	0:2

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