Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.05	2.3
	2.94	3.19	2.41
	3.18	2.83	2.49	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.38
	2.89	3.04	2.35
	2.95	3.05	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.92)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.36 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
30.9%

Draw
30.4%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29.7%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Miramar Misiones have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, de Freitas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Miramar Misiones has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fenix has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.09.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:0
08.03.24	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
22.03.14	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	2:1
27.10.13	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0

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