Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 3

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports


	Cerro Largo		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.25	5.00
	1.46	3.85	5.80
	1.65	3.39	5.29
	1.73	3.39	4.66	Watch
	1.62	3.35	5.20
	1.68	3.56	5.23	Watch
	1.64	3.30	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	3.44 ↓ (4.2)	5.14 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
55.8%

Draw
26.4%

Rentistas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

19.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerro Largo - Rentistas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Rentistas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rentistas (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cerro Largo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rentistas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Barone B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Cerro Largo (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Rentistas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cerro Largo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Cerro Largo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, Cerro Largo is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:13 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro Largo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLT
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.22	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	2:1
21.05.22	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	2:0
30.07.21	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	1:3
06.02.21	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	2:1
06.11.20	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	0:0
16.08.20	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:1
16.03.14	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	3:1

Upcoming Matches