Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Peña Balsamaiso		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.7	1.58
	4.59	3.67	1.61
	4.86	3.82	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↓ (6.22)	3.73 ↓ (4)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peña Balsamaiso
19.2%

Draw
24.2%

Alfaro
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

22.1%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Peña Balsamaiso is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alfaro is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Alfaro is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
25.02.24	Anguiano - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Alberite - Peña Balsamaiso	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Peña Balsamaiso - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Oyonesa - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWL
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
25.02.24	Alfaro - Vianés	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Racing Rioja - Alfaro	1:3 ✺
11.02.24	Alfaro - Varea	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Haro Deportivo - Alfaro	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Alfaro - La Calzada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.10.23	Alfaro - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0

Peña Balsamaiso - Alfaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide