Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Peña Sport		Gernika

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.6	3.2	1.93
	4.11	3.2	1.96
	3.74	3.32	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.98)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	1.96 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
24.4%

Draw
28.9%

Gernika
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.7%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Sport's form might have worsened.

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peña Sport - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gernika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gernika will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peña Sport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Sport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.10.21	Osasuna B - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Peña Sport - Sestao	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Racing Santander B - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Peña Sport - Cayón	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Náxara - Peña Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTTL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.10.21	Gernika - Ardoi	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Racing Rioja - Gernika	4:3 ✺
16.10.21	Gernika - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Gernika - San Juan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.01.18	Gernika - Peña Sport	3:1
03.09.17	Peña Sport - Gernika	0:1

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