Match Info

Date: 15 March 2016, Tuesday


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	2	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	3.55	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.47	3.1	2.04
	3.97	3.37	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3	2.15	Watch
	3.84	3.32	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.4)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	2.08 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
25.3%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Nacional
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	5.9%	84.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 9.8%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 43 - 84.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 74.3% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
08.03.16	Atlético Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.03.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.03.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.02.16	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
21.02.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLW
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Copa Libertadores
08.03.16	Atlético Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.03.16	Atlético Nacional - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
04.03.16	San Francisco - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
01.03.16	Atlético Chiriquí - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.03.16	Atlético Nacional - Sporting Cristal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.03.16	Atlético Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0
10.04.12	Atlético Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:0

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